Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.438110 1.633404 1.847313 2.099297 2.388401 2.710167 3.096056
2025-11-09 1.086257 1.327187 1.612274 1.975586 2.427850 2.974342 3.687835
2025-11-16 0.888513 1.153477 1.487891 1.943296 2.550987 3.339057 4.446784
2025-11-23 0.743233 1.015880 1.379442 1.903612 2.646479 3.671233 5.208627
2025-11-30 0.673326 0.963827 1.370839 1.988809 2.914115 4.265149 6.418367
2025-12-07 0.605354 0.902456 1.337292 2.028564 3.115796 4.786559 7.599530
2025-12-14 0.536005 0.828240 1.272804 2.009070 3.219206 5.166537 8.612543
2025-12-21 0.468870 0.747973 1.187445 1.942483 3.233710 5.400113 9.411897
2025-12-28 0.441851 0.727430 1.192716 2.021852 3.497231 6.078750 11.084100
2026-01-04 0.416425 0.705937 1.192867 2.090764 3.749285 6.768734 12.884771
2026-01-11 0.389545 0.678491 1.179006 2.131821 3.954337 7.398430 14.668891
2026-01-18 0.363913 0.650112 1.159763 2.159520 4.136061 8.005950 16.504223
2026-01-25 0.327975 0.600307 1.098307 2.103877 4.156500 8.316176 17.810096
2026-02-01 0.289749 0.542236 1.015307 1.996274 4.058629 8.373532 18.581932
2026-02-08 0.265988 0.509178 0.976307 1.971774 4.129257 8.794780 20.253034
2026-02-15 0.243602 0.476407 0.934230 1.935489 4.169324 9.154984 21.847311
2026-02-22 0.236318 0.472975 0.950387 2.024338 4.497341 10.211215 25.344542
2026-03-01 0.224973 0.459963 0.945294 2.065944 4.723495 11.065466 28.497830
2026-03-08 0.209266 0.436155 0.914828 2.046608 4.803386 11.579374 30.850918
2026-03-15 0.191118 0.405317 0.866003 1.978955 4.756824 11.771578 32.357023
2026-03-22 0.186198 0.402903 0.879499 2.060059 5.091720 12.993227 37.050911
2026-03-29 0.180682 0.398571 0.888148 2.130438 5.409551 14.222121 42.034566
2026-04-05 0.173523 0.389761 0.885508 2.172367 5.658629 15.304694 46.808442